I don\’t know about how the undecideds are breaking and I haven\’t yet seen any of the Sullivan campaign literature, but from the people I\’ve spoken to who live in the district, they\’re not too keen on Reynolds. But I\’ll say one thing for Reynolds, he\’s got the biggest signs in yards but I would imagine that comes with owning a printing press.

You may have tried to decieve an 18 year old a while back into thinking you\’re a liberal but your trying to ally yourself with Mao doesn\’t make you a liberal — if true, it makes you part of the lunatic fringe. If untrue, it just makes you a liar. Mao\’s cultural revolution was anti-establishment and anti-education. It had nothing to do with liberalism. It was really a social experiment which combined a warped communism with fascism.

As for claiming that Sullivan is a garden variety liberal, what are you basing that on? What issues can you possibly claim he\’s liberal on? He voted against the last Tosa budget because of a high levy. And yes, we got wind of the fact that the Reynolds people were planning to attack him for voting for the budget but after they found out he voted against it, even they decided they would have looked silly putting that info out.

Having said all that, this is going to be a very close election. Personally, I believe Reynolds to be a lightweight - nothing more than a mouthpiece for Bob Dohnal.

Anyone afraid to step-up to a straight-up debate (without his girly excuses about cameras) isn’t fit for office. What an embarrassment to the GOP.

Nuff said.

At best, the undecideds will break 1-1 for Sullivan. Probably closer to 1.5-1 for Reynolds. Sullivan is a garden-variety liberal that isn’t resonating with Tosa.

Racine Journal Times has an online poll of Doyle-Green up now. The guv’s not doing too well, despite the Dem Party forwarding the link to its email list last week.
http://www.journaltimes.com/jt_simple_poll/results.php?poll_name=gov101306&options=Democratic+incumbent+Jim+Doyle%7CRepublican+challenger+Mark+Green%7CGreen+Party+candidate+Nelson+Eisman%7CDonald+Duck%7CNot+one+of+them+deserves+my+vote+-+even+Donald+Duck&title=POLL%3A+Election+2007&question=Your+vote+for+Governor+will+go+to+…&border_color=909090&border_thickness=1&background_color=ffffff&title_bar_color=003399&title_font=Verdana&title_color=ffffff&title_style=bold&title_size=12&question_font=Tahoma&question_color=000000&question_style=bold&question_size=14&other_font=Tahoma&other_color=000000&other_style=normal&other_size=12

DEMS HYPE THEIR OWN INTERNAL NUMBERS

Democrats are also touting new poll results today that show their candidates in three targeted districts ahead of or dead even with GOP rivals.

The internal SSDC numbers reflect surveys conducted over the last 10 days among 350 likely voters in each district. Each poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

The results:
– SD 21: Dem John Lehman 44 percent vs. Republican Bill McReynolds 38 percent
– SD 23: Dem Pat Kreitlow 47 percent vs. GOP Sen. Dave Zien 45 percent
– SD 5: Dem Jim Sullivan 40 percent vs. GOP Sen. Tom Reynolds 40 percent

At first the Dems were surprised by how positive the results were, but found they are consistent with some other recent numbers conducted by outside organizations, an SSDC consultant said.

The internal GOP poll is a push poll like any other, designed to convince money that the candidate is the frontrunner.

Green and Doyle each have “5 point leads.”

I’d be shocked if Sullivan paid for more polling. If he did more polling, he should have publicized the results but there’s nothing out there — so no poll.

Any polling he’s doing is I’m sure just to give a general idea of how he’s doing. 40-40 with work to do, doing well with the undecideds, isn’t really saying anything he didn’t already know in June.

Three weeks out - time for direct mail.

A good chunk of east ‘Tosa is in Cullen’s district now. The new boundaries pushed Scott Walker out of his old ‘Tosa-based Assembly District, now held by Leah Vukmir. East ‘Tosa goes blue. West of 76th Street - all red, and now Elm Grove (red) is in the SD. The gerrymandering all goes in Reynolds’ favor (as we all know).

It’s tough for Sullivan, even tougher with Doyle and Falk cornering GOTV resources, and I don’t think Doyle or Falk on the ticket is particularly helpful to Sullivan. This is not the kind of demographic race Dems have shown they know how to win in the Milwaukee area — Sullivan’s going to have to do this on his own.

Despite all that, Jim’s got an even chance to have a different fate than John Lehman (Racine) on election day.

Monte, I’m not sure where you’re headed with that comment.

But again - I usually get the targeted Dem lit, too (it all goes back to 2004 and convincing some 18 year old canvasser coming to the door that I was a Mao’s Little Red Book carrier and subscribed to ACLU monthly…).

I don’t feel like scouring Sullivan’s reports - because I don’t care enough to - but everyone knows how to hide obligations. His campaign may actually be hiding his poor finance numbers; again, I’m hearing from very reliable - and credible - sources (and they’re on your team).

I don’t know the reasons behind the fact that you received only one piece of lit from Sullivan but it may be due to some sort of targeting. Regardless, we’re still three weeks out so I would have expected only one piece.

How many Reynolds pieces have you received?

But you’re right — yard signs mean little. (Hence the title of the column.)

I have it on good sources that a) Sullivan is out of money after having hired too much staff and b) Reynolds’ lead is about 7 points.

As someone who gets EVERY piece of lit that flies around here, I’ve only gotten one piece from Sullivan while Reynolds is sending a new piece out every week.

McGuigan - you should know that yard signs mean bumpkis. They are a waste of money. Instead of yard signs, maybe Sullivan should have focused on his absentee ballot push and some mail to hit this coming week.

The race goes to Reynolds - and I don’t even like the guy.